基于状态空间法的填海造地供给规模评定模型构建

Modeling of evaluation on the coastal reclamation supply based on state-space method

  • 摘要: 针对我国填海造地快速发展过程中,其规模控制缺乏科学制定依据和有效、可量化的管控标准的现实需要,制定了填海造地供给规模评定的总体研究路线,梳理了评定的指标体系。在此基础上依托状态空间法对国内一般性填海造地区域进行了基于现实条件的最大供给能力评价,给出了填海造地供给规模计算的数学公式和直观表达的三维评价模型。并最终通过对填海造地规模确定规律的研判,提出了在填海造地区域选择、地域比较等方面的管控标准和对策建议。

     

    Abstract: According to the lack of scientific evidence, and effective control standards that could be quantified in the scale control in the rapid development of coastal reclamation in China today, this paper develops the overall research route of evaluation on coastal reclamation supply, and teases out the index system of that.Then, based on the state-space method, it evaluates the maximum supply of general domestic coastal reclamation area under existing conditions, and proposes abstract mathematics formula and visible 3-D evaluation models for the calculating of coastal reclamation supply.Finally, through the study on the rulemaking of coastal reclamation supply, it proposes control standards and recommendations of policies in selection and regional comparison of coastal reclamation area.

     

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