北黄海夏季表层冷水时空变化特征及影响机制

Temporal and spatial variation characteristics and influence mechanism of surface cold water in the North Yellow Sea in summer

  • 摘要: 本研究基于1982-2023年超高分辨率OSTIA海表温度(SST)数据,揭示了北黄海夏季SST时空演变特征,为北黄海生态环境演变评估提供量化依据。结果显示:研究区域SST以(0.28±0.10)℃/10 a的速率显著增暖,EOF分析表明主模态(81.57%方差)呈全域同相增暖,次模态(6.77%)表征为内部−沿岸反相振荡。北黄海夏季表层冷水现象稳定分布于西朝鲜湾、长山群岛、成山角锋面区及渤海海峡,其中西朝鲜湾冷水区最为显著,基于温度阈值法的统计表明,1982-2023年该区域冷水面积呈显著年代际缩减趋势(−4 497.90±9.59)km2/10 a。驱动机制解析表明,除潮混合与潮致上升流的主导作用外,北黄海夏季净热通量的衰减 −4.68 W/(m2·10 a) 是导致表层冷水缩减趋势的重要因素,而经向风应力减弱无法有效调控表层冷水面积。

     

    Abstract: This study investigates the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of summer sea surface temperature in the North Yellow Sea using ultra-high-resolution OSTIA SST data from 1982 to 2023, providing quantitative basis for the assessment of regional ecological environment evolution. Results show that SST in the study area increased significantly at a rate of (0.28±0.10) ℃ per decade. Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis indicates that the primary mode (81.57% variance) exhibits homogeneous warming across the entire region, while the secondary mode (6.77%) is characterized by an inland-coastal anti-phase oscillation. The summer surface cold water phenomenon in the North Yellow Sea is stably distributed in the West Korea Bay, the Changshan Archipelago, the Chengshanjiao frontal area and Bohai Strait. Among these, the cold water area in West Korea Bay is the most significant, and the statistics based on the temperature threshold method demonstrates a significant interdecadal shrinkage of the cold water area in this region from 1982 to 2023 (−4 497.90±9.59 km2/10 a). Analysis of the driving mechanisms indicates that, alongside the dominant effects of tidal mixing and upwelling, the reduction in summer net heat flux across the North Yellow Sea −4.68 W/(m2·10 a) plays a critical role in driving the contraction of the surface cold water area. In contrast, the declining meridional wind stress component fails to significantly modulate the spatial extent of these cold water features.

     

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