“短板效应”理论在资源环境承载能力评价中的应用及优化研究

Application and development countermeasures of "buckets effect" in the assessment of resources and environment carrying capacity

  • 摘要: "短板效应"是管理学中普遍被接受且具有较强实践性的一个理论,在资源环境承载能力评价中也被广泛采用。本文通过资源环境承载能力的影响机制及案例分析,指出现有的评价方法对"短板效应"的应用过于简化,且"短板效应"只是资源环境承载能力多种效应机制之一而非全部。建议基于整体论思想,突破原有范式,系统分析资源环境承载能力中的多种效应机制的叠加及其演化规律,在此基础上将承载能力的分析评价数学模型化,构建创新性资源环境监测预警方法体系。

     

    Abstract: "Buckets effect" is a widely accepted theory with strong practicality in management science.It is also widely used in the assessment of resources and environment carrying capacity.This article analyzes the possible influence mechanisms and cases, points out the application of "buckets effect" in the assessment of resources and environment is too simple, and the "buckets effect" is just one of the various mechanisms.A suggestion is given that multiple effect mechanisms and its evolution law should be studied more deeply under the guidance of holism concept, and how to use mathematical model to simulate them determines the method reconstruction of resources and environment carrying capacity monitoring and early warning.

     

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